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Enforcement Volatility After Trump v SlaughterGovernance & Controls
4 min readFor GRC Leaders

Enforcement Volatility After Trump v Slaughter

Scope

This guide explains how the Supreme Court's June 29 ruling in Trump v Slaughter changes enforcement risk assessment and compliance program design for organizations regulated by independent agencies. It focuses on strategic adjustments for GRC teams now that agency leadership serves at the president's discretion, without for-cause removal protections.

The guide covers the FTC, SEC, NLRB, EEOC, and other affected agencies. The Federal Reserve remains exempt under the separate Trump v Cook decision.

Key Concepts and Definitions

At-Will Removal Authority: The president can now remove agency heads and commissioners without cause, removing the 90-year-old protection that required specific grounds for dismissal.

Enforcement Discretion: Agencies decide which investigations to open or close and where to allocate resources. These decisions don't require public notice or comment periods.

Opposition-Party Seats: Commissioner positions traditionally filled by members of the party not occupying the White House. These seats are currently empty at the FTC, removing dissenting voices that historically challenged majority positions.

Leading Indicators: Public statements, speeches, and priority announcements from agency leadership that signal enforcement direction before formal actions occur.

Requirements Breakdown

Your compliance obligations remain the same. What's changed is the enforcement climate around those obligations.

Written Rules vs. Current Priorities: The substantive requirements in securities regulations, antitrust law, labor standards, and consumer protection statutes remain binding regardless of enforcement posture. An agency's decision not to pursue certain violations doesn't make the underlying conduct lawful.

Documentation Standards: Programs in contested policy areas require contemporaneous business and legal rationale documentation. This is crucial for diversity hiring practices, ESG initiatives, and any program area where enforcement priorities have shifted between administrations.

Monitoring Obligations: Your duty to track regulatory developments now includes tracking political signals. Agency enforcement aligns with White House priorities, making presidential statements and agency leadership speeches material to risk assessment.

Implementation Guidance

Separate Enforcement Climate from Legal Risk

Build your compliance program around the rules as written, not the current administration's enforcement appetite. Recent EEOC actions highlight this: Under Trump-appointed chair Andrea Lucas, the agency investigated Nike's diversity hiring goals, sued a Coca-Cola bottler over a women's networking event, and settled with a Planned Parenthood affiliate over DEI practices, while dropping cases involving transgender and nonbinary workers.

The underlying employment discrimination statutes didn't change. The enforcement priorities did.

Track the Signal-to-Action Timeline

Enforcement now moves in concert with the White House. You can anticipate agency posture like actions from overtly political agencies such as the EPA. When November brings a presidential transition, predict how the NLRB, FTC, and SEC will shift using the same approach you'd apply to any executive-branch agency.

Monitor these leading indicators:

  • Agency chair speeches and public statements
  • Priority case lists (when available through FOIA or reporting)
  • Settlement patterns in the first 90 days after leadership changes
  • Resource allocation announcements

Build Programs That Survive Administration Changes

Programs most exposed are those aligned with a single administration's posture. If your approach to a contested area relies on current enforcement leniency, document why the program serves legitimate business interests independent of the political climate.

For diversity initiatives, that means:

  • Business case documentation showing operational benefits
  • Legal analysis grounded in statutory text, not agency guidance
  • Evidence the program doesn't use quotas or exclude candidates based on protected characteristics
  • Regular reviews ensuring the program remains legally defensible under different enforcement regimes

Understand the Rulemaking vs. Enforcement Split

Rules still advance through notice-and-comment procedures, face judicial review, and typically include phase-in periods. You'll have months to adjust. Investigations announce themselves through subpoenas, not proposed rulemaking. The choice of whom to pursue is discretionary and largely unreviewable.

This asymmetry matters for resource allocation. Your team can plan for regulatory changes on a known timeline. Enforcement pivots require continuous monitoring and faster response protocols.

Common Pitfalls

Treating Favorable Enforcement Climate as Safe Harbor: Conduct an agency declines to pursue today remains unlawful if the statute prohibits it. A later administration can revive dormant enforcement theories.

Ignoring Empty Opposition Seats: Dissenting commissioners historically built the record that later courts used to strike down agency rules. The DC Circuit's 2011 rejection of the SEC's proxy-access rule relied on cost-benefit objections two dissenting commissioners had raised. Empty seats mean rules pass with less internal challenge but potentially more exposure in later litigation.

Conflating Predictability with Stability: The enforcement ship now moves as one unit with the White House, which may make timing more predictable. But predictable volatility is still volatility. Your program needs resilience, not just better forecasting.

Overlooking the Unsettled Boundaries: The ruling addresses Senate-confirmed leaders, not administrative law judges, career civil servants, or non-Article III judges. The removal power's downward reach remains unclear, creating uncertainty about which personnel decisions might shift enforcement on the ground.

Quick Reference Table

Element Pre-Slaughter Post-Slaughter Your Action
Commissioner Tenure Fixed terms, for-cause removal only At-will removal by president Monitor leadership changes as enforcement pivot points
Enforcement Timing Gradual shifts, often lagging White House priorities Immediate alignment with presidential agenda Track White House signals, not just agency guidance
Opposition Voice Protected minority commissioners Empty seats, no guaranteed dissent Anticipate less internal challenge to rules, more litigation risk later
Program Design Could calibrate to current agency posture Must withstand administration changes Document business rationale independent of enforcement climate
Investigation Risk Somewhat insulated from political pressure Directly responsive to White House priorities Comply with written rules, not current enforcement patterns
Rulemaking Pace Slow, deliberative Still slow (notice-and-comment unchanged) Existing planning timelines remain valid

The key takeaway is this: Build for the rules, not the referees. The referees will change more frequently now.

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